overconfidence
noun
                                                                                                                            
                                                            over·con·fi·dence
                    
                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                  ˌō-vər-ˈkän-fə-dən(t)s  
                                                                                                                              
            -ˌden(t)s
                                                      
                                                          
                                
              
          
                                                      : an excess of confidence (as in one's abilities or judgment) : confidence that is not justified                                      
              
                             
warned against overconfidence when investing
                                       People tend to overestimate their skills behind the wheel and underestimate the skills of the boobs and psychopaths driving around them, a phenomenon that psychologists call "optimism bias" and the rest of us simply call delusional overconfidence.— David H. Freedman
David H. Freedman
                         
                
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  Merriam-Webster unabridged




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